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Shut up about Barclay Perkins - The number of pubs in the UK
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You hear a lot of talk about pub closures. That such and such a number are closing every week. But I like numbers, me. Long strings of numbers that explain exactly what;'s going on.
I managed to snag a free copy of the British Beer and Pub Association Statistical Handbook for 2017. It's full of numbers, which is why I wanted it. Including ones on UK pub numbers. It has a nice long set, from 1990 to 2016. What do they tell us?
A quick seach on the internet found various articles that specified the number of pubs closing each week. The ones dated 2015 and 2016 quoted closure numbers between 21 and 29 a week. One claimed that in 2009 the rate was 52 per week. Some of those figures look rather exaggerated, especially the 52 a week one.
Let's take a look at the real numbers:
UK number of pubs |
year |
no. pubs |
closures per week |
5 year average closures |
1990 |
63,500 |
|
|
1991 |
62,200 |
25.0 |
|
1992 |
61,600 |
11.5 |
|
1993 |
61,000 |
11.5 |
|
1994 |
60,700 |
5.8 |
|
1995 |
61,000 |
-5.8 |
|
1996 |
60,800 |
3.8 |
3.1 |
1997 |
60,600 |
3.8 |
|
1998 |
61,000 |
-7.7 |
|
1999 |
61,500 |
-9.6 |
|
2000 |
60,800 |
13.5 |
|
2001 |
60,700 |
1.9 |
-0.4 |
2002 |
60,100 |
11.5 |
|
2003 |
59,400 |
13.5 |
|
2004 |
59,000 |
7.7 |
|
2005 |
58,600 |
7.7 |
|
2006 |
58,200 |
7.7 |
7.3 |
2007 |
57,500 |
13.5 |
|
2008 |
56,900 |
11.5 |
|
2009 |
55,900 |
19.2 |
|
2010 |
55,400 |
9.6 |
|
2011 |
54,700 |
13.5 |
10.8 |
2012 |
53,800 |
17.3 |
|
2013 |
52,500 |
25.0 |
|
2014 |
51,900 |
11.5 |
|
2015 |
50,800 |
21.2 |
|
2016 |
50,300 |
9.6 |
13.5 |
Source: |
BBPA Statistical Handbook 2017, page 68. |
I was very surprised to swee that the number of pubs actually increased in the second half of the 1990's. It's also clear that the rate of closuress has varied quite a bit. With 2016 seeing the smallest drop in a decade. That wasn't what I was expecting. Though the five years 2012 to 2016 are the worst in the set.
I'm not going to get involved in arguments about the root cause. Though I expect the crash in 2008 will have played a part. If I were being clever, I'd also include the percentage of beer sold in the on and off trade and beer consumption. Maybe I'll do that, if I can be arsed.
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